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Prediction markets

Interstate integrates Polymarket for event-based YES/NO markets, routed via DFlow for swap execution.

Where to trade

RoutePage
Market indexapp.interstate.so/predictions
Individual marketapp.interstate.so/predictions/[ticker]

From Predictions you can browse markets by category, see trending events, and click into any market to trade.

What's on a market page

  • YES / NO trade panel
  • Live order book
  • Price history chart
  • Holders — top positions in the market
  • Comments — social stream per market
  • Activity feed — recent trades in this market
  • AI insights drawer (where available) — summary narrative

Requires a Polygon wallet

::: warning Polymarket runs on Polygon Polymarket is a Polygon-based product. Trading requires a Polygon wallet — the Polygon Wallet Card surfaces this in the UI. Your Solana wallet is not used for Polymarket trades. :::

When you open a predictions market for the first time, the UI walks you through wiring up your Polygon wallet.

How a trade places

  1. Pick YES or NO.
  2. Enter an amount.
  3. Review the price (price = implied probability).
  4. Confirm.

Swap execution routes through DFlow. You receive outcome tokens (YES or NO shares) that redeem for $1 each if the market resolves in your favor, $0 if not.

Positions and portfolio

Your prediction positions show up in Portfolio alongside spot and perps. Portfolio displays:

  • Market and outcome (YES / NO)
  • Entry price and quantity
  • Current price
  • Unrealized PnL

Market resolution

When a market resolves, winning outcome tokens redeem at $1 each. Losing tokens go to $0. You don't manually close the position — resolution is handled by Polymarket.

AI-generated markets (experimental)

Interstate also embeds Talarion, an experimental tool for AI-generated prediction markets. Talarion markets appear on the Predictions index alongside Polymarket events.

::: info Experimental Talarion markets are a beta surface. Treat them as experimental — liquidity, resolution, and feature coverage may differ from standard Polymarket events. :::

Rewards on prediction trades

Prediction market trades earn Credits toward your Airdrop Genesis rank, exactly like spot trades:

  • Volume counts toward lifetime Credits and rank-ups
  • Rank multiplier (up to 4× at Titan) applies
  • Prediction trades have their own daily and seasonal quest tracks — separate from spot
  • Streaks count: a prediction trade keeps your daily streak alive

One thing to know: SOL cashback applies to spot trades only. Prediction markets have a different fee structure and are rewarded via the prediction quest tracks instead. See the Credits guide for the full mechanics.

Live data

Prices, order book, and activity update live via WebSocket. The page does not need to be refreshed to see new trades or price moves.

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